Monday, 10 November 2014
Latest poll of polls: Tories 34% Labour 33% Liberal Democrats 8% Ukip 17% (Ashcroft-Opinium-Populus-Survation-YouGov, 03.11.2014-10.11.2014)This morning, senior BBC political analyst, Andrew Neil, tweeted the following (see above). It clearly states that in a poll of polls of the 5 most recent polls from Ashscroft, Opinium, Populus, Survation and YouGov that the Tories are leading Labour by 1% (34% v 33%).
— Andrew Neil (@afneil) November 10, 2014
Put simply, this is inaccurate and distinctly so. Below I present to you the polling scores of both parties in the 5 most recent polls.
In short, Labour lead the Tories, on average, by 2% in the polls. They do not trail by 1% as Andrew Neil states. I am concerned that his distorted view of the current state of play for both parties could be mistakenly conveyed to the viewing public and thereby affect the perception of how each respective party is performing.
Sunday, 18 May 2014
Tuesday, 13 May 2014
1. Labour's Rebuttal Unit is not fit for purpose. It is overly staffed with decent MPs, but MPs who do not have the time to master the detail to accurately/swiftly rebut Tory lies.
2. Ed Miliband's closest advisors are perceived to be aloof/out of touch, and by instinct act as a firewall rather than a conduit between Ed and grassroots Labour.
3. Up to half a dozen Shadow Cabinet Ministers are regarded as either elitist, underperforming or at worse 1-2 have no strategic interest in a Labour victory in 2015. A reshuffle is needed.
4. In key policy areas (EU, Rail, Tuition Fees and Free Schools) Labour appear to prefer triangulation over clear/unambiguous policy pronouncements. This is confusing voters.
5. Voters were right to remove Labour from power in 2010. They remain unconvinced that we have learned the lessons of defeat. We need to atone aloud, often.
6. The MPs most in touch with ordinary voters are less represented in the Shadow Cabinet. Ian Lavery is perhaps the best example of this.
7. Labour have some great policies (housing, NHS, Energy and Childcare) but we are squandering our limited media exposure in failing to communicate these.
8. Labour are failing to accurately or concisely communicate to voters the failures of David Cameron's government. There is a lack of fact based research at Labour's HQ.
9. Voters think Labour are incapable of taking tough unpopular choices. Especially on the EU, Welfare & Immigration. Economic Nationalism can solve this.
10. Social Coalitionism can deliver a majority for Labour in 2015, but at present, the working poor and public sector workers dissatisfaction is not being harnessed.